Thailand Inflation Accelerates to 2.53% in August, Stays Within Target
Thailand’s consumer price index climbed 2.53% on a year-over-year basis in August, accelerating from 1.95% in July, based on Commerce Ministry data released today. That pickup, the first in four months, came in above the 2.43% median expectation from a Bloomberg economist survey.
At 2.53%, the figure stays inside the Bank of Thailand’s 1%-3% target band. The central bank left its policy rate at 1% for a third straight meeting in August.
On a month-over-month basis, prices advanced 0.56% in August, swinging from a 0.73% decline in July and surpassing the 0.51% median forecast. Underlying inflation accelerated to 1.44% from 1.34%.
Last week, Bank of Thailand Governor Vitai Ratanakorn said weak growth, not price pressures, poses Thailand’s main economic risk, and that monetary policy remains accommodative.
Nantapong Chiralerspong, director-general of the Commerce Ministry’s Trade Policy and Strategy Office, said inflation could continue to climb in September on higher oil, food, and transportation costs. The ministry projects full-year price gains to average between 1.5% and 2.5%, with the rate potentially reaching about 2.7% in the fourth quarter.
“Elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions and an El Nino that is expected to intensify will be key drivers of inflation late this year,” Nantapong said.
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